Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.698273 0.799736 0.909924 1.038364 1.183856 1.343436 1.531625
2025-01-19 0.530972 0.665272 0.823650 1.023743 1.269321 1.560394 1.931060
2025-01-26 0.439304 0.597385 0.798275 1.071151 1.430885 1.887526 2.509609
2025-02-02 0.374256 0.548794 0.786322 1.130956 1.615591 2.269756 3.216078
2025-02-09 0.310516 0.488683 0.747146 1.145792 1.740696 2.590077 3.887699
2025-02-16 0.258081 0.433968 0.704788 1.146841 1.843615 2.890875 4.572245
2025-02-23 0.217634 0.389373 0.668913 1.149813 1.947017 3.202967 5.312785
2025-03-02 0.184552 0.350110 0.634050 1.147142 2.038572 3.505503 6.074739
2025-03-09 0.161345 0.323311 0.614939 1.166479 2.167040 3.880643 6.998456
2025-03-16 0.138184 0.291994 0.582257 1.155787 2.240161 4.169282 7.808371
2025-03-23 0.123812 0.274824 0.572450 1.184699 2.386950 4.601223 8.917631
2025-03-30 0.107381 0.250261 0.544183 1.173234 2.455101 4.897139 9.811801
2025-04-06 0.095567 0.233639 0.529824 1.188632 2.580249 5.319300 11.003572
2025-04-13 0.081821 0.210019 0.496959 1.160568 2.613926 5.569611 11.894553
2025-04-20 0.075563 0.202686 0.498327 1.206391 2.808038 6.161572 13.536048
2025-04-27 0.070996 0.198602 0.506361 1.268265 3.045046 6.868567 15.494083
2025-05-04 0.063943 0.186760 0.494217 1.281550 3.175465 7.365815 17.066228
2025-05-11 0.057028 0.173849 0.477282 1.280644 3.272885 7.802250 18.555273
2025-05-18 0.051144 0.162555 0.462488 1.282620 3.377089 8.264970 20.153247
2025-05-25 0.045744 0.151507 0.446439 1.278816 3.466456 8.703409 21.743593
2025-06-01 0.041969 0.144522 0.440160 1.299704 3.620305 9.309213 23.788395
2025-06-08 0.037429 0.134163 0.422699 1.287513 3.687272 9.714261 25.398683
2025-06-15 0.034849 0.129585 0.421088 1.319311 3.874543 10.433897 27.849494